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What China thinks about the escalating Iran-Israel conflict

by Evelyn Cheng
June 23, 2025
in Markets
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A cargo ship cruises towards the Strait of Hormuz off the shores of Khasab in Oman on Jan. 15, 2011.

Marwan Naamani | Afp | Getty Pictures

BEIJING — The latest flare-up in Center East tensions is not denting Chinese language enterprise optimism about alternatives within the area.

Chinese language shipments to Dubai’s logistics hub have risen by 20% this month from a yr in the past, as locals refill on batteries and every day requirements, in accordance with estimates from Bear Huo, China basic supervisor at FundPark, a fintech startup that lends cash to small Chinese language companies promoting abroad through web platforms.

“General, Chinese language retailers are comparatively optimistic,” he mentioned Monday in Mandarin, in accordance with a CNBC translation. That is partly because of the comparatively latest rise of the Center East as a fast-growing market, he added.

Chinese language firms have more and more turned to the area in the previous couple of years — whether or not to lift cash from native buyers or to faucet a brand new marketplace for electrical vehicles — amid commerce tensions with the US. On the geopolitical entrance, Beijing helped Riyadh and Tehran restore diplomatic relations in 2023.

Huo’s view is that the Iran-Israel tensions will finish comparatively quickly, provided that even the U.S. strikes have focused particular strategic websites, and as combating is not unfold out alongside a border as within the drawn-out battle between Russia and Ukraine.

Nonetheless, dangers stay elevated because the Dubai port is true throughout the Strait of Hormuz from Iran.

Ships are shifting extra slowly and there are fewer flights, Huo mentioned. He mentioned he doesn’t know the place merchandise from Chinese language sellers go to after they arrive in Dubai, and added that the corporate would not instantly do enterprise with Iran due to sanctions.

China’s Ministry of International Affairs mentioned it “strongly condemns” the U.S. assaults on Iran over the weekend, whereas calling on all events concerned to “attain a ceasefire as quickly as potential.”

China’s commerce with Iran has dropped sharply within the final two years, in accordance with customs knowledge accessed through Wind Info. The U.S.-sanctioned crude exporter has relied considerably on Beijing’s purchases.

“A extra steady Center East serves China’s financial and strategic pursuits,” mentioned Yue Su, Beijing-based principal economist for China on the Economist Intelligence Unit.

“Beijing will likely be to place itself as a constructive energy able to contributing to international stability,” she mentioned. She famous that Chinese language companies will probably work together cautiously with Iran, given issues over potential secondary sanctions.

State information broadcaster CCTV aired interviews Sunday of Chinese language residents grateful for Beijing’s efforts to evacuate them from Iran.

Whereas there are strict warnings on U.S. residents touring to Iran, Chinese language residents have been capable of go to Iran with no visa for 3 weeks, for tourism or enterprise. Most Chinese language nationals who have been in Iran have been evacuated, the Chinese language Embassy in Iran mentioned Monday.

On an much more optimistic notice, if the newest escalation leads to a leisure of U.S. sanctions on Iran, tens of 1000’s of Chinese language companies would probably rush to the Center Japanese nation to construct up its tourism, actual property and total infrastructure, mentioned Qin Gang, Beijing-based founding father of a consultancy that interprets as Ode & Music Cultural Business.

He mentioned he visited 5 cities in Iran in 2013 on the invitation of Mahan Air, a private-sector Iranian airline.



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