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Trump claims polls show he’s ‘leading very big’—but they don’t, and he isn’t

by Joan McCarter
August 9, 2024
in Politics
Reading Time: 4 mins read
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An indignant, rambling, and defensive Donald Trump lastly emerged from hiding on Thursday to present his stump speech to a bunch of reporters at his Mar-a-Lago resort in Florida. The GOP’s presidential nominee insisted he had the largest rally crowds ever and tried to make information by lastly agreeing to debate Democratic presidential nominee Kamala Harris. However all reporters needed to speak about was his floundering marketing campaign. 

One reporter talked about that Trump has only one public occasion scheduled this week.  

“A few of your allies have expressed concern that you simply’re not taking this race critically,” the reporter stated, which set Trump off on considered one of a number of tirades about current polls. 

“I’m main by so much,” Trump claimed, after calling it a “silly query.”

He returned to that matter on this riff about his “good polls” the place he’s “considerably main.”

“Fortuitously, we’ve had some superb polls during the last pretty brief time period,” Trump stated. “Rasmussen got here out immediately with considerably main,” he continued.

That’s true: Rasmussen Stories does have a brand new ballot giving Trump a 5-point lead. However Rasmussen Stories is the notoriously conservative and inaccurate pollster that 538 dropped from its polling averages and forecasts earlier this 12 months. In the meantime, the separate and extra credible RMG Analysis, run by Scott Rasmussen, had Harris main by 5 factors as just lately as six days in the past.

However Trump was on a roll. 

“Others got here out immediately that we’re main and in some instances considerably,” he boasted. “CNBC got here out additionally with a ballot that has us main, and main pretty huge in swing states.” 

Trump’s lead within the head-to-head with Harris within the CNBC ballot is 2 factors. It’s a nationwide ballot and doesn’t present information from swing states. By no means thoughts—in his head, it’s true.

“Some polls I’m main very huge in swing states,” Trump insisted.

In actuality, no, he isn’t. On Thursday, the Prepare dinner Political Report shifted its scores for 3 swing states, altering them from “Lean Republican” to “Toss Up”:

x

At this time, we’re making three modifications to our Electoral School Rankings.

AZ: Lean R to Toss Up
NV Lean R to Toss Up
GA: Lean R to Toss Up@amyewalter on the presidential marketing campaign reset: https://t.co/zWeqQKdyDH

— Prepare dinner Political Report (@CookPolitical) August 8, 2024

Based on 538’s ballot aggregates, Harris has an edge over Trump within the battleground states of Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin, and he or she’s operating neck and neck with Trump in North Carolina. 

On the finish of final week, Harris had the lead in a dozen separate nationwide polls. 

x

Harris leads in 7 new natl polls:
49%-45% (+4) Civiqs
49%-46% (+3) Leger (was +7 Trump)
48%-46% (+2) FAU (was +5 Trump)
46%-44% (+2) Econ/YouGov (was +3 Trump)
45%-43% (+2) Redfield/Wilton
44%-42% (+2) Angus Reid
47%-46% (+1) Morn Seek the advice of
Extra 👇https://t.co/pGLjOpu4J2 https://t.co/hNUjWrrSIV

— Simon Rosenberg (@SimonWDC) July 31, 2024

The surge Harris skilled after President Joe Biden stepped apart and endorsed her because the Democratic candidate wasn’t a blip or a bounce, both. It’s sustained, and it has modified this race. 

And Trump can’t take it.

Let’s hold Trump in meltdown mode! Donate now to assist Kamala Harris win.





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