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The new great game over rare earths

by Euro Times
November 3, 2025
in Business
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China’s choice on October 9 to increase export restrictions on seven Uncommon Earth Components (REEs) — very important for high-tech manufacturing and defence functions — has heightened world commerce and geopolitical tensions. The transfer has deepened considerations in regards to the world’s heavy reliance on China for important mineral provides. This newest salvo follows related curbs launched in April, with Beijing citing nationwide safety because the rationale.

Only a day later, U.S. President Donald Trump responded to China’s actions by saying 100 per cent tariffs on Chinese language items, efficient November 1. He additionally unveiled new export restrictions on ‘important software program.’ China’s Uncommon-earth restrictions, imposed on supplies, Know-how, merchandise, and providers, crippled the defence, aerospace, nuclear, EV, and semiconductor industries throughout the US and Europe. In keeping with official estimates, the influence in Germany alone might be round €400. The impact within the US might be way more profound.

The Minerals That Energy the Fashionable World

Uncommon Earths, typically ignored, are the unsung heroes of the digital age. They’re the invisible spine of contemporary trade, from smartphones and semiconductors to electrical automobiles, satellites, photo voltaic panels, wind generators, fibre optic networks, communication methods, drones, medical tools, and defence methods. Their distinctive magnetic, catalytic, and luminescent properties make them indispensable for contemporary high-tech enterprises in power, economic system, defence, and area.

China dominates this area like no different. It controls 70 per cent of world uncooked supplies, 83 per cent of processing know-how, and 92 per cent of completed merchandise. This supremacy stems from the Nineteen Eighties, when the U.S. deserted rare-earth mining and processing resulting from environmental considerations, mistakenly classifying them as thorium. China embraced it, endured the environmental hazards and the human prices, and constructed a monopoly, positioning itself to preside over this new Nice Recreation. The dominance that now haunts the very nation that after nurtured them is clear.

Uncommon Earths and Nationwide Safety

These 17 components of the uncommon Earth elements are, by and huge, transformed right into a single dominant completed product known as Everlasting Magnets or just Magnets. For simplification, Uncommon Earth Components might be thought of as synonymous with Magnets. The size of the consumption of magnets in defence is staggering; whereas an electrical automotive wants 3 to five kilograms of magnets, an F-35 fighter jet requires almost 400 kilograms, and a submarine wants about 4 tonnes of magnets. These aren’t mere elements—they’re the hidden drive behind electrical methods, thermal stability, laser precision, optical methods, warmth resistance, agility, and survivability in trendy warfare. With out Magnets, the {hardware} of up to date warfare would fairly actually collapse. They’re equally essential for area applied sciences to face up to harsh, unpredictable environments.

Stay Occasions


Following preliminary tariff threats and political turmoil, Presidents Trump and Xi Jinping struck a one-year truce on October 30, 2025, on the APEC summit in Busan, suspending export controls and punitive tariffs. This de-escalatory pause grants the US and its allies respiration room to hasten supply-chain diversification. Nonetheless, China’s dominance will stay unchallenged for a very long time to come back, as countering its monopoly won’t be simple. Beijing may undercut world efforts by dumping processed minerals at artificially low costs, discouraging international funding in mining and analysis.

The Street Forward for India

For India too, this improvement carries important financial and strategic implications, underscoring the necessity for a swift and well-coordinated coverage response. India depends solely on imports to satisfy its magnet demand, with official knowledge displaying 26,000 metric tonnes imported in 2023. This determine is projected to double by 2030 resulting from rising industrial wants. At the moment, Midwest Superior Supplies, based mostly in Hyderabad, is the only real home producer and is about to produce 500 metric tonnes of Uncommon Earth magnets yearly beginning January 2026. The remaining demand continues to be fulfilled by means of imports, underscoring the pressing want for enhanced home manufacturing.India’s uncommon earth components are primarily present in monazite, bastnaesite, and allanite deposits. Monazite, as an illustration, is abundantly out there in coastal seashore sands, with Andhra Pradesh holding round 3.69 million tonnes, Odisha 3.06 million tonnes, Tamil Nadu 2.46 million tonnes, and Kerala 1.84 million tonnes — for a complete of roughly 11 million tonnes nationwide. Bastnaesite and allanite, alternatively, are concentrated within the mountain rocks of Andhra Pradesh, Jharkhand, West Bengal, Karnataka, and Gujarat.

Amongst these, monazite represents the predominant and most accessible supply of Uncommon Earths. But, the complete chemical traits of India’s monazite deposits stay insufficiently studied. This lack of detailed data has been a big barrier to the event of home processing applied sciences. Kerala is the primary state to take the lead in commissioning a pilot mission to review the chemical traits of Monazite out there to them. The Authorities of India ought to lead from the entrance by persuading different states to provoke pilot tasks in keeping with Kerala, and concurrently begin industrial manufacturing.

In a swift strategic transfer, the federal government of India has launched the PLI scheme to handle the financial viability hole and spur magnet manufacturing —a vital however inadequate step. The manufacturing goal of 6000 tonnes beneath the PLI scheme might be unrealistic until the availability chain is strengthened by involving state authorities companies the place monazite deposits can be found. India urgently wants a high-powered Uncommon Earth Fee, modelled on the Atomic Power Fee, by reorganising the decades-old Indian Uncommon Earths Restricted (IREL) set as much as deal with nuclear gasoline extraction with Uncommon Earths as byproducts. This initiative will prioritise Uncommon Earths improvement and exploration, spearhead R&D, advance course of know-how, forge worldwide partnerships to safe important provide chains, develop various applied sciences, and construct a strategic ecosystem within the backdrop of shifting geopolitical dynamics. Analysis is already underway within the US and elsewhere to develop applied sciences as alternate options to Uncommon-earth elements.

Nonetheless, we should develop strong methods to counter such ways. Having missed the Industrial Revolution and endured many years of power shortage, India can not afford to lag behind within the ongoing high-tech revolution. As China wields uncommon earths as each an financial and geopolitical weapon, India faces a important alternative: act decisively now or threat strategic dependence that would severely undermine its economic system, power safety, and nationwide safety.

Dr. Bhaskar is a former Diplomat, economist, and Writer of the e-book ‘Power Safety and Financial Improvement in India: A Holistic Method’, revealed by TERI. He served each within the US and China.



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