Russia continues to flood forces into the Kherson space in response to Ukraine’s repeated declarations that it’s simply this shut from launching its long-expected counter-offensive to retake its land. The entire state of affairs continues to have the texture of a lure as Ukraine systematically eliminates ammunition depots and provide routes into the area.
This now signifies that each provide routes into the west facet of the Dnipro river within the Kherson area at the moment are blown.
Solely two bridges join Kherson and all that crimson territory to the north of the Dnipro river. The Antonovsky bridge close to Kherson (which remains inoperable), and the bridge at Nova Kakhovka. For this reason the betrayal originally of the struggle was so painful—all Ukraine needed to do was blow each bridges and Russia would’ve by no means been in a position to take Kherson. Native authorities officers conspired with Russians to sabotage town’s protection, and numerous lives have been misplaced in consequence, and numerous extra will achieve this within the months forward.
Ukraine has additionally begun hitting the 2 bridges connecting Crimea (the purple on the backside of the map) with Kherson oblast. Chopping off Melitopol from the south shall be essential to retaking that metropolis. Russia can barge some provides throughout the Dnipro, in addition to helicopter stuff over, however their insatiable artillery can’t be fed by barges and plane. And Ukraine’s degradation of Russia’s air defenses means Ukrainian plane can higher interact shifting goal—these barges and provide helicopters.
Russia isn’t surrendering that territory and not using a combat, however … its generals might have misplaced their urge for food for being on the unsuitable facet of the Dnipro.
This might clearly be propaganda, however a number of Russian generals and different excessive command have already bit the mud on this area, significantly at Kherson’s airport at Chernobaivka. If true, it may actually be an indication that Russian excessive command expects Ukrainian forces to advance.
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Some odds and ends, this can be a nice thread: Russians don’t care about useless Ukrainians or useless fellow Russian troopers. They don’t even care about hunger out within the hinterlands. What do they care about? Having a number of kinds of yogurt accessible on the grocery store:
This one is so fantastical, it will possibly’t presumably be true:
Igor Strelkov is the struggle legal who led Donbas forces within the 2014 struggle. He additionally has a daily Telegram podcast (or no matter it’s they name it) the place he rails in opposition to the incompetence of the Russian struggle effort. His doomcasting is extremely entertaining, so I’m actually hoping this isn’t legit, and that he’ll proceed to entertain us along with his protection of the struggle.
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kos
Should you’re questioning why there are explosions within the air, the Russian propagandists will let you know that they’re intercepting HIMARS rockets. The fact? Russia is trying a WWII tactic—making an attempt to take out air targets utilizing timed fuses and flak.
Russia has no technique to intercept HIMARS rockets.
