With a purpose to perceive the complete image of how the world order is altering, I might urge you to look at this five-minute clip, or the whole 40-minute animated video referred to as “Rules for Coping with Altering World Order.” And if you would like an much more full rationalization, you… pic.twitter.com/A5n9W7Alrv
— Ray Dalio (@RayDalio) April 5, 2025
“With a purpose to perceive the complete image of how the world order is altering, I might urge you to look at this five-minute clip, or the whole 40-minute animated video referred to as Rules for Coping with Altering World Order,” Dalio posted on X on April 5. “And if you would like an much more full rationalization, you’ll be able to take a look at my ebook of the identical title.”
The five-minute video, which Dalio shared along with his 1.1 million followers, outlines findings from his research of the ten strongest empires over the previous 500 years, together with the Dutch, British, American and Chinese language empires. It highlights recurring cycles of financial dominance, reserve forex standing, and decline — transitions typically accompanied by battle and monetary instability.
A key graphic from the video illustrates Dalio’s central thesis: that main world powers rise and fall in overlapping cycles, every lasting roughly 250 years. The chart maps the trajectories of the Dutch, British, and U.S. empires, all of which rose to international prominence earlier than coming into intervals of decline. The U.S., Dalio suggests, is at the moment within the latter section of its cycle, whereas China is depicted as an ascending energy, mirroring the early phases of earlier hegemonies.
“Sometimes, these transitions have been intervals of nice battle as a result of main powers do not decline with no struggle,” Dalio stated within the video. He added that such cycles typically start after main wars and finish in financial bubbles, wealth inequality, inner strife, and ultimately, exterior battle.
Dalio’s message comes as monetary markets reel from escalating U.S.-China tensions and fears of a world recession. Shares plunged worldwide on Monday after U.S. President Donald Trump doubled down on sweeping tariffs and Beijing vowed to retaliate. Traders rushed to protected havens, sending Treasury yields tumbling and prompting bets on Federal Reserve fee cuts.
In India, benchmark indices slumped practically 5% on the open, whereas the MSCI Asia ex-Japan index dropped 6.8% and Japan’s Nikkei 225 fell 6.5%. The Nasdaq entered a bear market final week, and commodities, together with oil, have additionally been hit.
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on Friday warned the tariffs have been “bigger than anticipated” and will considerably dampen development and stoke inflation.
Dalio, whose macroeconomic insights have lengthy drawn consideration from Wall Road and policymakers alike, didn’t point out present occasions immediately in his put up. However the timing and content material of his message — bolstered by a visible chart suggesting the U.S. is in decline and China on the rise — underscore rising investor anxiousness a couple of quickly altering geopolitical and financial panorama.
Additionally learn | Ray Dalio points dire warning, says America’s debt woes are spiralling, predicts surprising developments on the horizon
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