The federal government has fastened a goal of 119 million tonnes (mt) of wheat manufacturing in 2025-26, which shall be harvested from April
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Besides Rajasthan, different States within the north west area might have under regular rainfall, and above regular temperatures in February, India Meteorological Division (IMD) mentioned on Saturday. Although particulars of Statewise temperature forecast was not introduced, any greater temperature past a restrict might have an effect on yield of wheat, the primary cereal of Rabi season.
“The likelihood forecast for minimal temperature signifies that in February 2026, minimal temperatures are prone to be above regular over most elements of the nation, besides some areas of south peninsular the place regular minimal temperatures are anticipated. Additionally above regular most temperatures are probably over most elements of the nation besides some remoted areas within the central India and the southern elements of peninsular India, the place regular most temperatures are probably,” IMD’s Director Common M Mohaptra mentioned.
Briefing media on the climate outlook, he additionally mentioned that month-to-month rainfall over the nation as an entire in February is most probably to be under regular (<81 per cent of LPA). Nonetheless, some areas of north-west (elements of Rajasthan) and east central India (primarily Chhattisgarh), and excessive southern elements of northeast India (Tripura) might have regular to above-normal rainfall, he added.
Additional, Mohapatra additionally highlighted that rainfall over north-west area consisting of Uttar Pradesh, Uttarakhand, Haryana, Punjab, Himachal Pradesh, Jammu and Kashmir, Delhi and Ladakh is most probably to be under regular, which implies decrease than 78 per cent of its Lengthy Interval Common (LPA).
“The best temperature for wheat crop throughout February is upto 12 diploma censius in night time and 25 diploma celsius in day. Nonetheless, even when the day temperature rises to 30 diploma and doesn’t lengthen for per week there isn’t a menace to its yield. There shall be threat provided that each day and night time temperature are greater and lengthen for greater than per week, and such scenario usually doesn’t occur,” mentioned Gyanendra Singh, former director of Karnal-based Indian Institute of Wheat and Barley Analysis (IIWBR). “Let’s wait and watch,” he added.
The federal government has fastened a goal of 119 million tonnes (mt) of wheat manufacturing in 2025-26, which shall be harvested from April. Whole wheat acreage stood at an all time excessive 334.17 lh this 12 months, in contrast with 328.04 lh in 2024-25, up 2 per cent. The output was an all time excessive of 117.54 mt in 2024-25.
Then again, IMD has cautioned that above-normal temperatures might speed up crop development and shorten the crop length of rabi crops, notably in north-west, and central India. “Crops like wheat and barley might expertise pressured maturity, resulting in sterile spikelets and chaffy grains, leading to yield discount,” Mohapatra mentioned.
Additional, oilseeds and pulses similar to mustard, gram (chana), lentil (masur), and area pea might present early flowering and untimely maturity, leading to poor pod improvement, decreased seed dimension, and decrease yields, it mentioned including hotter situations may favour fast multiplication of aphids and different sucking pests.
Vegetable crops similar to potato, onion, garlic, tomato, cauliflower, cabbage, and peas could also be adversely affected throughout important levels of its life cycle . Elevated temperatures can induce bolting in onion and garlic, cut back tuber bulking in potato, as a result of flower drop in tomato and deteriorate crops like cabbage and cauliflower, thereby reducing yield and market worth, it mentioned.
Amongst different dangers related to an above-normal temperatures in February, IMD mentioned that horticultural crops similar to mango, citrus, banana, and grapes might expertise early flowering, uneven fruit set and elevated fruit drop in addition to irregular flowering and poor fruit improvement in temperate fruits like apple, pear and peach.
Revealed on January 31, 2026
