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The problem is not the technology but rather a fundamentally flawed business strategy. Fortunately, there is a linear technological development roadmap between ADAS and full self driving. The correct approach would have been to bet on incremental improvements until FSD was achieved. Trying to leapfrog to FSD was too much of a gap and people underestimated the complexity of the problem, the maturity of the technology, and effort required to achieve the goals.
New technologies like solid state LIDAR systems, better Image Recognition systems, multispectral cameras, and other technologies are getting more mature and cheaper so that they will be easily integrated into a vehicle in an affordable manner. All these technologies will make ADAS systems better and better, up to a point that they will have full awareness of the environment, and be able to achieve FSD. On the IA front, there is still a lot of work to be done, especially in terms of sensor fusion, namely being able to integrate data from cameras, using multiple frequency bands, with LIDAR point maps, and ultrasonic sensors.
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