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Does the Fed Shave with Occam’s Razor?

by George Ford Smith
April 14, 2025
in Finance
Reading Time: 5 mins read
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Think about being well-known for saying one thing you by no means stated, seven centuries after your dying. What has come to be often called Occam’s razor—“entities are to not be multiplied past necessity”—has been attributed to English thinker and theologian William of Occam (1287-1347), although he by no means used these precise phrases in his writing. In line with conceptually.org,

Occam’s razor (also referred to as the “regulation of parsimony”) is a philosophical instrument for “shaving off” unlikely explanations. Basically, when confronted with competing explanations for a similar phenomenon, the only is probably going the proper one.

Occam’s precept has been reformulated many instances earlier than and after Occam himself introduced it, starting with Aristotle (“Nature operates within the shortest manner attainable”), however the worth of parsimonious explanations in some kind has been preserved as much as the current as a useful instrument of rationalization. Einstein is credited with expressing it as “The whole lot must be made so simple as attainable, however no easier.” Da Vinci beneficial mimicking Nature in whose works “nothing is wanting, and nothing is superfluous.” And, since WWII—consistent with the precept itself—KISS (“Maintain it easy, silly”) has turn out to be the trendy world’s acronym for it.

The idea describes a fascinating aim in any endeavor—every little thing crucial, nothing superfluous. With this in thoughts, how ought to we consider the Federal Reserve System? Is it a streamlined company purporting to supply the American financial system with all its financial wants? Did it change a flawed system that was inflicting havoc? Was it an enchancment over something the financial system has ever had? Since an financial system contains individuals who work and commerce, was there a public outcry for financial reform?

To reply these questions we have to have a look at the Fed’s objectives, and for these we discover on its slick web site an easy assertion: The Federal Reserve, the central financial institution of the US, gives the nation with a protected, versatile, and secure financial and monetary system. If we dig a little bit we discover underneath “The Fed Defined” the eleventh version of its functions and features, although it’s now not known as that. Additionally, for many who are upset over the Fed’s personal character, be aware that the highest degree area is .gov, not .org, .com, or .web.

Going additional, underneath the part labeled “Who We Are” we be taught that,

The Federal Reserve System performs 5 key features that serve all People and promote the well being and stability of the US financial system and monetary system.

The primary two features are (1) conducting the nation’s financial coverage, and (2) selling monetary system stability. By scrolling a little bit we be taught {that a} committee of 12 voting members from across the System “serve on the Federal Open Market Committee and assist set essential US financial coverage.” Presumably they hold foremost in thoughts the beliefs of a protected, versatile, and secure financial and monetary system.

Though “protected” could be interpreted varied methods, it would check with the FDIC’s position within the financial system within the occasion of a financial institution failure. Its web site tells us, “Your deposits are routinely insured to a minimum of $250,000 at every FDIC-insured financial institution.” The federal government created the FDIC in 1934, 20 years after the Fed grew to become lively. How protected have been depositors’ cash earlier than 1934?

The Fed was the brainchild of the large Wall Avenue banks—notably J. P. Morgan & Co.—who wished a “lender of final resort” and a extra elastic foreign money. Neither of those objectives could possibly be achieved with out the ability of the federal authorities, which is why the Fed is just not a purely market association however a coercive cartel established by the Federal Reserve Act of 1913. To make sure the Fed managed the elasticity of the cash provide, which principally meant inflating it, the laws granted the Fed a monopoly of the be aware concern. Although Fed notes have been initially designated as lawful cash, they weren’t awarded authorized tender standing till 1933, following FDR’s criminalization of gold possession.

Gold had at all times been cash, with paper foreign money understood as receipts for cash, not cash in itself. From the depositors’ perspective any gold left on the financial institution was his and could possibly be acquired in full any time the financial institution was open. But in accordance with the federal government, adherence to gold redemption was the first cause for the financial chaos in 1933 as a result of individuals have been “hoarding” it—they have been pulling it out of banks and securing it some other place.

On this planet of central banking the gold commonplace was, as Keynes had known as it in 1924, a “barbarous relic.” In his A Tract on Financial Reform, he writes:

If we restore the gold commonplace, are we to return additionally to the pre-war conceptions of bank-rate, permitting the tides of gold to play what methods they like with the interior price-level, and abandoning the try to average the disastrous affect of the credit-cycle on the soundness of costs and employment?

It wasn’t the “tides of gold” that prompted the issues, it was financial institution deception known as fractional reserve banking. You assume your cash’s nonetheless within the financial institution? Not if sufficient of you attempt to redeem it without delay. When that occurs we’ve got the distinctive expertise of financial institution runs and bankers go nuts.

Mockingly, it was Keynes who had proven just a few years earlier a extremely perceptive understanding of banking fraud within the Financial Penalties of the Peace, Chapter Six:

By a unbroken means of inflation, governments can confiscate, secretly and unobserved, an vital a part of the wealth of their residents. By this technique they not solely confiscate, however they confiscate arbitrarily; and, whereas the method impoverishes many, it truly enriches some. The sight of this arbitrary rearrangement of riches strikes not solely at safety, however at confidence within the fairness of the present distribution of wealth.

The racket he describes is infinitely simpler with fiat cash within the arms of a central financial institution just like the Fed. Keynes, by the way, was extremely leveraged within the inventory market when he modified his thoughts about “the method of inflation.”

Conclusion

Ought to we conclude then that the Fed is much from the parsimonious reply to credit score cycles and financial institution panics? Does it violate Occam’s razor? We didn’t want an FDIC earlier than the Fed, why does it require one now? Why does the Fed have the privilege of authorized counterfeiting whereas the remainder of us don’t? Why is gold anathema to central banks in observe whereas they hoard it on the sly?

Lastly, does the Fed reign over a financial system that’s protected, versatile, and secure? Not in case you consider its said goals. If the Fed isn’t the reply, then what’s?

With authorities granting privileges to banks and for different causes, we’ve got by no means had trustworthy cash or trustworthy banking. We’d like each and might get each if we unfold the phrase and get authorities out of the best way. As I’ve quoted actually because it’s each true and incisive,

If a home cash consists of a commodity, a pure gold commonplace or cowrie bead commonplace, the rules of financial coverage are quite simple. There aren’t any. The commodity cash takes care of itself. — Milton Friedman, “Financial Coverage: Principle and Follow”



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