12 Nightmarish Economic Trends That We Should Expect To See During The 2nd Half Of 2022 – Investment Watch

by Michael

In case you thought that the financial information was loopy through the first half of 2022, simply wait till we get to the second half.  So most of the issues that we’re experiencing now are going to proceed to accentuate, and People have gotten extra pessimistic about financial circumstances with every passing day.  Actually, as you will note under, a whopping 85 p.c of us imagine that it’s “very probably” or “considerably probably” that the financial system will undergo a recession sooner or later through the subsequent yr.  After all the reality is that if all now we have to undergo by means of is a “recession”, we’d be extraordinarily lucky.  Our leaders have misplaced management of the financial system, and many people are extraordinarily involved about what’s coming subsequent.  The next are 12 nightmarish financial tendencies that we must always count on to see through the second half of 2022…

#1 Fuel costs will proceed to surge increased, and lots of People will probably be shocked by how excessive they finally go.  In case you can imagine it, in Washington State at the least one fuel station has now reprogrammed their fuel pumps “to make room for double-digit pricing”…

On the 76 Fuel Station in Auburn, Washington situated at 1725 Auburn Approach North, fuel pumps have been reprogrammed to make room for double-digit pricing. In March, they nonetheless had single-digit programming.

A spokesperson at 76 confirmed to The Put up Millennial that the fuel pumps have been reprogrammed to allocate for double-digit pricing. Though not confirming that they’re anticipating costs to extend as much as $10.00 or extra, the present pattern suggests the likelihood.

Provides of gasoline will proceed to get even tighter within the months forward.  Earlier right this moment, I heard from a reader on the east coast and a reader in the course of the nation that each mentioned that diesel is now being rationed the place they dwell.  Thus far, I’ve not been capable of affirm that that is taking place on a widespread foundation.

#2 We’re being warned that there might be prolonged blackouts in some components of the nation through the summer season months.  It’s being reported that the center of the nation is especially in danger…

About 100 million People face energy blackouts this summer season as roasting climate, overstretched powerplants and unreliable inexperienced vitality sources mix to create an ideal storm of issues.

States stretching from the Nice Lakes to the Pacific Ocean that are house to tens of thousands and thousands of People might have a tough time producing sufficient energy for his or her residents this summer season.

The ‘MISO’ a part of America’s energy grid – whose full title is the Midcontinent Unbiased System Operator is at biggest threat of a large-scale outage.

#3 Everybody just about agrees that meals costs will proceed to rise.  After all they’ve already reached ranges which might be completely insane…

Take the case of Jeff Good, who co-founded three eating places in Jackson, Mississippi. Round 18 months in the past, a 40-pound field of hen wings price him about $85. Now, it will probably go as excessive as roughly $150. Bills for cooking oil and flour have practically doubled up to now 5 months, he mentioned. But it surely’s not simply ingredient costs going up. He’s paying extra for labor and providers, too. Even the corporate that maintains his air conditioners has tacked on a $40 gasoline cost per go to. To manage, he’s raised menu costs.

A 15-piece order of hen wings, a signature dish at his Sal and Mookie’s pizzeria, went for $13.95 earlier than Covid hit. Now, wing prices can range a lot they’re labeled at “market worth,” like some eating places do with lobster. At peaks, the menu worth may be be about $27.95 — however that represents a barely-there margin — and Good estimates the “actual price” is nearer to about $34. He’s making an attempt to resolve whether or not to maintain elevating costs or take wings off the menu.

I don’t learn about you, however I don’t ever see myself paying 34 {dollars} for an order of hen wings.

#4 As our provide chains endure much more stress, shortages will proceed to accentuate.  The acute child method scarcity that we’re witnessing proper now is only a preview of coming sights…

Two kids in Memphis have been hospitalized after needing IV fluids and dietary help because of the child method scarcity.

The preschooler and toddler, each from completely different households, have been rushed to Le Bonheur Youngsters’s Hospital after their mother and father didn’t safe method as cabinets throughout America go naked.

#5 The UN is telling us that we’re heading into the worst world meals disaster since World Conflict II.  In some components of Africa, the variety of folks affected by “excessive starvation” has already greater than doubled…

Greater than 23 million individuals are experiencing excessive starvation in Ethiopia, Somalia and Kenya, in response to a brand new report by Oxfam and Save the Youngsters. That’s up from over 10 million final yr.

The area’s worst drought in 40 years is being exacerbated by battle and the pandemic. And the conflict in Ukraine has despatched meals costs hovering to file ranges.

#6 Widespread starvation will virtually definitely result in extra civil unrest.  Latest occasions in Sri Lanka give us a sign of what could also be coming…

Protesters in Sri Lanka have burned down properties belonging to 38 politicians because the crisis-hit nation plunged additional into chaos, with the federal government ordering troops to “shoot on sight.”

Police within the island nation mentioned Tuesday that along with the destroyed properties, 75 others have been broken as indignant Sri Lankans proceed to defy a nationwide curfew to protest towards what they are saying is the federal government’s mishandling of the nation’s worst financial disaster since 1948.

#7 The Federal Reserve is prone to proceed to aggressively increase rates of interest.  Actually, Fed Chair Jerome Powell is overtly admitting that his establishment’s battle towards inflation might trigger “some ache” within the months forward…

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell warned Tuesday the U.S. might really feel “some ache” because the central financial institution raises rates of interest to struggle inflation, insisting the Fed would do no matter it takes to curb worth development.

Throughout a dwell interview for The Wall Avenue Journal’s “Way forward for The whole lot” summit, Powell mentioned the Fed will proceed to lift rates of interest till inflation begins to fall and the forces driving costs increased fade, even on the threat of a deeper financial slowdown.

#8 Larger rates of interest will probably be devastating for the housing market in the USA.  And that’s very troubling information, as a result of house gross sales have already fallen for 3 months in a row…

House gross sales fell for the third consecutive month in April as rising mortgage charges and affordability challenges pushed many would-be house patrons out of the market.

#9 Defaults are prone to proceed to rise increased.  Identical to we noticed proper earlier than the final monetary disaster, defaults on subprime loans are actually beginning to surge…

Customers with low credit score scores are falling behind on funds for automobile loans, private loans and bank cards, an indication that the healthiest client lending surroundings on file within the U.S. is coming to an finish.

The share of subprime bank cards and private loans which might be at the least 60 days late is rising sooner than regular, in response to credit-reporting agency Equifax. In March, these delinquencies rose month over month for the eighth time in a row, nearing their prepandemic ranges. Delinquencies on subprime automobile loans and leases hit an all-time excessive in February, based mostly on Equifax’s monitoring that goes again to 2007.

#10 Because the financial system slows down, we must always count on layoffs to extend and jobless claims will finally begin to spike.  Actually, we simply discovered that they’ve now hit a 4 month excessive.

#11 Evidently, all of this dangerous financial information goes to be actually dangerous for inventory costs.  The S&P 500 has already practically fallen into bear market territory, and lots of imagine that what now we have witnessed up to now is just the start.

#12 Many are warning {that a} recession is both already right here or will arrive quickly.  And People are more and more changing into extra pessimistic concerning the financial system.  One survey that was not too long ago performed discovered that 85 p.c of People imagine that it’s “very probably” or “considerably probably” that there will probably be a recession sooner or later within the subsequent yr…

An awesome majority of People expect there to be a recession inside the subsequent yr, in response to a Quinnipiac College ballot launched Wednesday.

The ballot discovered that 85 p.c of People assume it’s probably for the nation to undergo an financial recession within the subsequent yr. Of those that responded, 45 p.c mentioned it’s “very probably,” and 40 p.c mentioned “considerably probably” for a recession.

The type of historic financial meltdown that I’ve been warning about for years is quickly approaching, and the temper of the nation will dramatically shift as circumstances vastly deteriorate.

Already, we’re beginning to see an incredible quantity of anger on the market.  Earlier right this moment, I got here throughout the next put up on a highly regarded Web dialogue discussion board…

Simply wish to vent. I’m from center Missouri, I’m a single mother of two teenagers. My day job pays properly and pays the payments properly, a yr in the past my revenue would help us, payments, meals, fuel and many others. i now need to work a second job simply to feed us and put fuel in my automobile. Eggs right here went from .99 a carton to 1.99, floor beef went from 2.89 a pound to 4.99, and it goes on and on. Fuel went from 1.90 to 4.29 a gallon. I’m out of my thoughts scared it is going to solely worsen. I’ve democrat associates that say “that’s how the financial system works”. No it’s as a result of Biden was giving out “covid” bucks to non working folks profiting from the system, giving our cash to Ukraine, shutting down fuel traces within the US and many others.

I can perceive her anger.

Most People are working as laborious as they will, however our lifestyle is being systematically destroyed by the very silly insurance policies of our leaders.

Sadly, we’re nonetheless solely within the very early chapters of this disaster.

It seems just like the second half of this yr will probably be much more difficult than the primary half, and that’s going to have huge implications for all of us.