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Inflation latest: June figures show unexpected rise to 3.6% as fuel and food costs continue to increase

by Karl Matchett
July 16, 2025
in Finance
Reading Time: 11 mins read
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FTSE 100 rises and worth of oil drops

A glance now on the equities and commodity markets – the FTSE 100, oil and gold, particularly.

As we speak’s inventory market rise within the UK sees the index up 0.14 per cent, with British Airways proprietor IAG one of many highest flyers on the day, up 1.54 per cent.

It’s a blended image in Europe, with France’s CAC 40 just about at zero for the day, Germany’s DAX up 0.2 per cent and the Euro Stoxx 50 down 0.2 per cent.

Gold futures are barely on the rise, up 0.22 per cent, however Brent Crude Oil has dropped virtually half a % right down to $68.39 at this time.

Futures markets present the Nasdaq set to drop 0.17 per cent decrease when it opens this afternoon.

Karl Matchett16 July 2025 12:39

Home worth index: 3.9% annual rise in property costs

With inflation the important thing matter at this time, a number of else has gone somewhat unnoticed.

Let’s go searching the remainder of the enterprise, cash and economics strains round lunch, beginning with the UK home worth index.

Gov.UK’s report at this time reveals the common property worth for Might of this 12 months was £269,000, leading to an annual common worth enhance of three.9 per cent.

That varies by area in fact, with the best being Northern Eire 9.5 per cent, Scotland 6.4 per cent and the north east 6.3 per cent.

On the different finish of the dimensions, the south west grew at 1.9 per cent, the south east 2.1 per cent and London at 2.2 per cent.

Jonathan Hopper, CEO of Garrington Property Finders, stated:

“It is a reset somewhat than a resumption of enterprise as common.

“Whereas April’s figures may be dismissed as an oddity – the weeks after the Stamp Obligation deadline had been ghostly quiet for a lot of property brokers – Might was purported to see the market return to normality.

“As we speak’s figures recommend it has completed so, however that in some areas the normality is sharper and harsher than earlier than.”

Karl Matchett16 July 2025 12:18

Key factors from Rachel Reeves’s Leeds reforms

It wasn’t all about investing and purple tape.

Right here’s a very good run-down of the important thing factors which could have an effect on you, from ISA reform and mortgage modifications to Ombudsman modernising and client safety guidelines.

Karl Matchett16 July 2025 12:00

Financial savings and investing platforms each give approval to Reeves’ name to motion

Tons and many response on either side of the divide over plans to begin encouraging folks to take a position extra money.

It’s straightforward to think about wealth managers simply need you to make use of their merchandise, however the sense on this plan is seen with each funding and financial savings platforms alike talking of their approval – and exhibiting what truly must occur to vary the narrative.

Right here’s a choice of feedback from these working within the monetary spheres…

Charlotte Kennedy, Rathbones:

“The emphasis on altering the narrative round funding threat is especially welcome. Too usually, threat is seen as one thing to be prevented solely, when in actuality, understanding and managing it’s key to reaching higher monetary outcomes. Leaving cash idle in financial savings accounts would possibly really feel protected, nevertheless it usually fails to maintain tempo with inflation, not to mention construct wealth over the long run.

“Unlocking retail funding might be no straightforward feat. It means unpicking generations of overreliance on money and the uniquely British tendency to favour bricks and mortar. Altering these deeply ingrained habits will take time – and, crucially, training.

“Better monetary training in faculties is pivotal if we’re to put the groundwork for long-term change. Youngsters ought to go away college geared up not simply with educational data, however with the monetary confidence to take a position correctly in maturity. If we’re critical about unlocking the nation’s capital and constructing a stronger economic system, we have to begin with the following era.”

“Money ISAs usually are not, and by no means have been, a blocker to investing—they’re a gateway. We’re happy to see proof of an elevated give attention to customers, and discovering the fitting steadiness between money financial savings and investing for long run progress, somewhat than slicing allowances that inspire and reward optimistic saving behaviours and assist folks develop into financially resilient.

“We absolutely assist the Authorities’s ambition to foster a stronger funding tradition within the UK and whereas our analysis reveals that there’s an urge for food to take a position amongst most savers, individuals are held again by concern of monetary loss, a insecurity and restricted data.

“Initiatives just like the Recommendation Steering Boundary Evaluation, the Pensions Funding Evaluation, easing overly cautious threat warning rules together with client training campaigns will all be key to breaking down the obstacles and constructing a nation of assured traders.”

“After a lot hypothesis over Money ISA modifications, savers might be happy that the Chancellor will not be transferring ahead with ISA reforms in the meanwhile. It’s vital, on the very least, to not make ISAs any extra complicated than they’re now by including new variations which may confuse folks, doubtlessly deterring them from utilizing an ISA.

“Encouraging a tradition of funding to realize the Chancellor’s objectives is the fitting precedence somewhat than lowering the Money ISA allowance to make it more durable for folks to avoid wasting.

“Our Freedom of Data (FOI) request revealed that the common worth of the highest 25 shares and shares ISAs stands at £8.8million versus a mean of £650,000 for the most important 25 money ISAs, which is 13 occasions extra. Nevertheless, it will be significant that this initiative is delivered in a approach that places client pursuits first and helps their understanding of investing and its dangers.”

Yana Skrebenkova, Revolut:

“For too lengthy, a decrease urge for food for investing within the UK could have hindered many Brits from constructing long-term wealth. However creating wealth by means of investing needs to be accessible to everybody, not only a privileged few. By equipping folks with the arrogance to take a position, beginning with clear steerage and available, low-cost funding instruments, we will encourage extra customers to take step one. Opening up conversations about beginning to make investments will dismantle the obstacles which have traditionally prevented folks from getting began, resulting in a very optimistic shift.”

Karl Matchett16 July 2025 11:41

Reeves calls for investing be proven in additional optimistic tones to encourage equities take-up by public

Rachel Reeves has informed Metropolis leaders to vary the tune on investing to get extra folks placing long-term financial savings into equities.

Latest alterations to guidelines means individuals who don’t pay for monetary recommendation can quickly get focused steerage, a bridge of the hole between specialist recommendation and simply commonplace explanations.

Now extra must be completed to point out why, and the way, investing is usually a long-term optimistic for folks’s wealth.

“Our tangled system of monetary recommendation and steerage has meant that individuals can’t get the fitting assist to make selections for themselves,” she stated.

“For too lengthy, we’ve got introduced funding in too unfavourable a light-weight, fast to warn folks of the dangers with out giving correct weight to the advantages.”

Mark FitzPatrick, CEO of St. James’s Place, stated: “We strongly assist the deliberate UK Funding Marketing campaign introduced yesterday, becoming a member of colleagues throughout the business to develop a marketing campaign that encourages the nation to take a position.

“Constructing a tradition of investing is important – not only for folks’s long-term monetary wellbeing, however for the broader economic system. With higher consciousness we can assist extra folks really feel assured about investing and nurture a stronger funding tradition.”

Karl Matchett16 July 2025 11:25

Reeves needs risk-taking by companies and customers alike

Ms Reeves’ calls to chop purple tape are for a easy purpose: to allow bolder and greater pushes for companies to develop extra.

That in fact creates a rising economic system after they do effectively, however there’s extra to the plans.

“We have now been daring in regulating for progress in monetary companies and I’ve been clear on the advantages that that may drive: with a ripple impact throughout all sectors of our economic system placing kilos within the pockets of working folks; by means of higher offers on their mortgages; higher returns on their financial savings; extra jobs paying good wages throughout our nation,” she says.

The chancellor then needs on a regular basis folks to take extra threat too, by placing their cash to work in investments.

A place to begin is to assessment language round funding merchandise and alternatives, in addition to an advert marketing campaign encouraging folks to begin doing so in the event that they don’t already.

Karl Matchett16 July 2025 11:10

Rachel Reeves needs to chop purple tape for companies

Price a glance now ultimately evening’s Leeds reforms and the chancellor’s plans to spice up progress.

Rachel Reeves stated she needs to eliminate purple tape which is a “boot on the neck” of companies, calling for regulators to cease stopping innovation and progress with calls for.

“It’s clear that we should do extra,” Reeves stated final evening. “In too many areas, regulation nonetheless acts as a boot on the neck of companies, choking off the enterprise and innovation that’s the lifeblood of progress.

“Regulators in different sectors should take up the decision I make this night, to not bend to the temptation of extreme warning, however to boldly regulate for progress within the service of prosperity throughout our nation.”

Karl Matchett16 July 2025 10:56

Councils retaining native taxes may supercharge progress

Permitting councils to manage and retain taxes generated regionally would enhance funding for companies by greater than £4 billion in lots of areas and “supercharge” financial progress, a brand new evaluation suggests.

The report argues that new fiscal preparations which allow authorities to a proportion of income from earnings tax, stamp obligation and the apprenticeship levy alongside a brand new vacationer tax may show transformational and assist the supply of the Authorities’s priorities.

The County Councils Community, which commissioned the report, confused the proposals don’t advocate tax rises and acknowledged {that a} means of redistributing tax income would should be established to deal with regional variations within the quantities generated.

Deputy Prime Minister Angela Rayner just lately stated she wished “extra push” in the direction of fiscal devolution as a part of the Authorities’s pledge to switch central determination making to native areas.

Karl Matchett16 July 2025 10:46

Analysts level to key labour knowledge after rising inflation

Analysts at Barclays says the UK’s CPI is “scorching in comparison with worldwide friends”, after rising to three.6 per cent.

“UK inflation returned to the worldwide pack over final 12 months however the hole between UK inflation and the EA and US has opened up once more, each in core and headline, since April’s tax modifications and indexation bump,” the report learn.

On rates of interest, they added:

“This tough print for the BoE ought to hold it cautious and gradual. The overshoot in inflation itself is problematic however, we predict, throughout the tolerance vary of the MPC for knowledge outturns relative to its forecast, particularly given the function performed by airfares and the truth that core items is undershooting relative to the Might forecast. Of extra concern would be the lack of progress on underlying companies, which can doubtless give the central MPC members sufficient purpose to stay cautious, at the same time as we count on the labour market loosens within the coming months.”

Karl Matchett16 July 2025 10:21

Inflation figures: Explaining the gas scenario

One level price selecting up on is gas.

That’s a contributor to rising inflation…however gas costs are literally taking place at current. So how does that work?

The reply is within the year-on-year comparability, as Steve Clayton, head of fairness funds at Hargreaves Lansdown, explains.

“The Workplace for Nationwide Statistics highlighted gas costs as the principle driver of the rise. Gasoline costs are literally taking place, however not as rapidly as they had been a 12 months in the past, which signifies that will increase elsewhere are felt extra acutely within the total determine,” he stated.

“Providers pricing stays stubbornly robust too, with the tempo of service worth inflation sticking at 4.7%.

“Thus far, the Financial institution of England has held to the view that rising unemployment will drag inflation again down later within the 12 months. However merchants will fret that slicing charges whereas costs are accelerating could also be asking an excessive amount of of the Financial institution’s confidence in its personal predictions.

“Sterling has reacted positively to the information, with traders betting that the information may push price cuts additional out into the long run. The pound has risen to simply over $1.34, placing an finish to now for the weakening development that we’ve got seen in the previous few buying and selling periods.”

Karl Matchett16 July 2025 10:02



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