By Lambert Strether of Corrente.
Readers, we may have a Dwell Weblog of tonight’s Vice-Presidential debate. Doorways open at 8:30pm ET; the talk correct begins at 9:00pm.
I additionally had a scheduling debacle, so I’ll be taking part in catchup for a bit, right here. –lambert
Hen Music of the Day
Return to the mimidae!
Blue Mockingbird, Yecora, Km 261, Sonora, Mexico.
In Case You May Miss…
- Vance-Walz debate.
- Kamala’s October Shock?
- Results of Helene on North Carolina election.
- Boeing and Longshoremen strikes..
Politics
“So lots of the social reactions that strike us as psychological are actually a rational administration of symbolic capital.” –Pierre Bourdieu, Classification Struggles
Biden Administration
The Biden White House has October Surprised their own candidate. A historical first, I think.
— Jeet Heer (@HeerJeet) October 1, 2024
For all I do know, these individuals assume struggle with Iran is an election-winning technique. Extra:
That is both an entire and whole failure to comprise the battle by the Biden administration — or that is what the White Home wished and it is probably the most egregious lie informed to the general public since WMD.
Both incompetence or duplicity–no third choice.
Malevolent in both case.— Ryan Grim (@ryangrim) October 1, 2024
Tbe everlasting query: Silly or evil? Might be each! In the meantime:
An Iranian missile exploded close to the Mossad headquarters, positioned on the northern outskirts of Tel Aviv.https://t.co/8L5e2KsIeC pic.twitter.com/m9YCPHEjx3
— Aric Toler (@AricToler) October 1, 2024
“Close to,” eh? A lot for all that Epstein materials….
“Viewers ‘very nervous’ as Joe Biden’s Hurricane Helene deal with sparks concern” [Irish Star]. “Throughout his deal with, Biden was noticeably combating again coughs whereas talking concerning the storm’s tragic penalties… ‘We’re protecting all our prayers on all of the lives misplaced…’ he managed between coughs…. “There’s nothing like questioning, ‘is my husband, spouse, son, daughter, mom, father alive? Many extra who stay with out electrical energy, water, meals, and communications,’ he continued, coughing once more, earlier than affirming to these affected by the catastrophe, ‘we aren’t leaving till the job is finished.’” • So, Biden’s third bout with Covid?
2024
Lower than forty days to go!
Friday’s RCP Poll Averages:
This week’s crop of flag-of-convenience Democrat celebrities and generals didn’t turn the tide either. Despite the micturition and lamentation (very much including my own) about the Trump campaign dogging it when the election is theirs to win (see Gallup, “2024 Election Environment Favorable to GOP” on the issues) do note the steady deterioration in Kamala’s position in the (aggregated) top battlegrounds. (Of course, we on the outside might as well be examining the entrails of birds when we try to predict what will happen to a subset of voters (undecided; irregular) in a subset of states (swing), and the irregulars especially might as well be quantum foam, but presumably the campaign professionals have better data, and have the situation as under control as it can be MR SUBLIMINAL Fooled ya. Kidding!.
* * * Vance-Walz debate:
Once again, doors open for the Live Blog at 8:30pm! Personally, I expect this debate to be more interesting than the Presidential debate, given the logorrhea of the previous combatants. But Vance has written a book, and Walz’s wife, also a teacher, had 40 students on their high school debate team, so maybe something rubbed off.
“JD Vance doesn’t think he needs debate prep to defeat Tim Walz” [Politico]. “‘We have well developed views on public policy so we don’t have to prepare that much,’ Vance said in a Teamsters press call on Wednesday morning. ‘We feel a lot more confident and frankly, you don’t have to prepare if you don’t have to hide what you say.’ His statement was in many ways exactly why Republicans — and especially Trump — continue to support him: He’s pithy, plainspoken and gets spirited with the media. And unlike Trump, he stays relentlessly on message and is known as an agile debater.”
“Want to Check That Fact? For V.P. Debate Viewers, Just Scan the Code” [New York Times]. “CBS News, host of Tuesday’s vice-presidential matchup between Senator JD Vance and Gov. Tim Walz, is using technology to try something new. A QR code — the checkerboard-like, black-and-white box that can be scanned by a smartphone — will appear onscreen for long stretches of the CBS telecast. Viewers who scan the code will be directed to the CBS News website, where a squad of about 20 CBS journalists will post fact-checks of the candidates’ remarks in real time. The code will appear only on CBS; viewers who tune in on a different channel will not see it. (Nearly every major network will simulcast the debate, starting at 9 p.m. Eastern.) But it is a novel approach to guide viewers, already accustomed to watching TV while hovering over a smartphone or laptop, to supplemental journalistic material elsewhere.” • Would be nice if users could select from a menu of QR codes, but whatever.
* * * Kamala (D): “Kamala Harris Is an Artless Dodger” [Peggy Noonan]. “The race is deadlocked with six weeks to go and if you’re an undecided, unsure or wavering voter it looks like Awful vs. Empty. [I]n terms of policy [Harris] is coming across as wholly without substance…. This week she couldn’t or wouldn’t answer a single question straight, and people could see it. She is an artless dodger…. Only when speaking of her personal biography does she seem authoritative. Otherwise she is airy, evasive, nonresponsive…. She owes us these answers. It is wrong that she can’t or won’t address them. It is disrespectful to the electorate. If voters don’t get a sense of her deeper beliefs they will think of her as a construct, something other people built so they can run the country as she does photo-ops. Half of America wonders who’s really running things as the Biden years ebb. They won’t want to wonder for another four years. Which gets us back to Awful vs. Empty. When Americans feel that’s the choice and neither side gives them reason to believe otherwise, they’ll likely start to think in ways they believe practical. Empty means trouble, a blur when we need a rudder, a national gamble based on insufficient information. It means a policy regime that would be unpredictable, perhaps extreme. You don’t want that. Awful is—well, awful. But was president for four years, we didn’t all explode, institutions held, the threatened Constitution maintained. So—maybe that’s their vote. ‘Close your eyes and think of England.’ Unless of course in the next six weeks somebody surprises them, and impresses them.” • Fascinating that Nooners uses “he” without actually introducing Trump. We all know who “he” is…..
Kamala (D): “JD Vance allegedly banned from entering Primanti Brothers during campaign stop; restaurant calls it ‘momentary confusion’” [WTRF]. “A popular Pittsburgh restaurant is under fire after Trump supporters claim that staff allegedly banned Vice Presidential candidate JD Vance from entering the establishment. Approximately 100 residents of Allegheny County were waiting at the restaurants for Vance’s arrival. Washington County GOP Chair Sean Logue shared his account on social media and is now calling for a boycott of Primanti Brothers. Logue reported [sic] to KDKA that the manager told patrons that Vance was not allowed to make a campaign stop at Primanti Brothers, but pushback came when supporters reminded management that Kamala Harris was granted a photo op at the restaurant last month…. According to reports, Vance stayed outside of the restaurant while a staffer tried to negotiate with Primanti’s manager, going as far as calling corporate. Many of the Trump supporters walked out of the restaurant to take pictures with Vance. A Primanti’s spokesperson told KDKA that Vance and his guest were then welcomed into the restaurant where they were able to talk to different guests. Primanti Brothers released the following statement, ‘Primanti’s prides itself on being a staple of the Pittsburgh community and a proud American business that has hosted sitting presidents, politicians, and political candidates from across the spectrum for over 90 years. Our doors are open to all patrons who wish to dine with us. Without any advance notice, today’s campaign stop caused some momentary confusion for our staff. However, Senator Vance and his team were welcomed into our restaurant shortly after and engaged with our guests inside and on the property. Senator Vance’s supportive comments that our manager got a little nervous given the secret service, police and crowd accurately reflect the nature of what occurred, but we are glad that it was resolved quickly.” It is reported that while in the restaurant, Vance paid the bill for all of the supporters and walked out two minutes later.” • Hmm. Could be a staff screwup, but reads like a set-up to me, sort of a reverse Penzeys Spices move. And oops:
This is a boss move by Kamala and Walz.
Primanti Bros allowed Kamala and their camera’s into their restaurant today, after telling JD Vance NO yesterday. https://t.co/a0Ie2ej2oD— Liberal Lisa in Oklahoma (@lisa_liberal) September 29, 2024
Unsure how “boss strikes” like this jibe with being a President of “all of the individuals.”
* * * Trump (R): “Trump’s ageing is as actual as Biden’s” [Edward Luce, Financial Times]. “The one strategy to perceive his frame of mind is to look at each rally to the tip or . Ninety-nine per cent of voters do not need the time. Which signifies that Trump is handled as the identical outdated Trump, eliciting acquainted shrugs with the newest infantile insult or outrageous vow. You could possibly smuggle a pointy cognitive decline into Trump’s persona and few would discover. In politics, this gives a uncommon type of hurricane insurance coverage. No one who rewatches Trump in 2016 and compares him with at present might deny that his reminiscence is patchier and his vocabulary smaller. Even when he avoids acquainted tangents about Hannibal Lecter and dying by electrocution or sharks, his repetition is notable. ‘Kamala is mentally impaired,’ Trump mentioned on the weekend. ‘Joe Biden turned mentally impaired. It’s unhappy. However mendacity Kamala Harris, actually, I consider she was born that means.’” • I consider that I’m one of many only a few analysts — maybe the solely analyst — to evaluate Trump’s transcripts, which I’ve accomplished since 2016, once I noticed him converse. After I in contrast Trump in 2016 to Trump in 2024 — utilizing transcripts, as Lucse suggests ought to be accomplished, however doesn’t appear to have accomplished — I concluded:
Nonetheless, I believe we are able to conclude that Trump’s psychological acuity is undiminished, that his populism might be seen to have veered off in a Schmittian “buddy and enemy” course, however that his populism may also be mentioned to incorporate on “kitchen desk” points, like ideas, actual wages, and unions, the primary two actually distinguishing him from Biden. (At this level we do not forget that underneath the CARES ACT, poverty truly diminished.) Trump, for good or sick, stays distinctive…
Nonetheless, to be honest to Luce, I in contrast rhetorical constructs and sentence construction; I didn’t take into account vocabulary. Maybe I ought to have a look at that.
* * * “Battleground states see waves of recent voters enroll who might sway 2024 race” [USA Today]. “Within the majority of the seven key battleground states the place Republican nominee Donald Trump and Democratic nominee Kamala Harris are notably shut within the polls, the present variety of registered voters is up in contrast with the 2020 presidential contest that coincided with the COVID-19 international pandemic. North Carolina, as one instance, boasts almost a half million extra registered individuals in 2024 in contrast with 2020, when Trump eked out a win over Joe Biden within the Tar Heel State by about 74,000 votes. Over in Michigan, the full rely of registered voters has grown by greater than 350,000 since October of 2020. Biden’s margin of victory that 12 months over Trump within the midwestern battleground state: a bit of greater than 150,000 votes. Comparable voter registration traits are additionally taking part in out in Arizona, the place Biden bested Trump in 2020 by about 10,500 votes, and Nevada, the place the present Democratic president beat his predecessor by almost 33,600 votes. Between August 2020 and the tip of July this 12 months, the Arizona citizens grew by almost 125,000 voters. In Nevada − the least populated of this 12 months’s swing states − greater than 260,000 further registered voters have signed up in contrast with this time 4 years in the past. There’s an essential caveat to this information: Registered voters usually are not the identical factor as precise voters….”
* * * GA: “Trump turns Hurricane Helene aftermath political” [Politico]. Oh my stars and garters! Extra: “Standing earlier than piles of bricks blown off a furnishings retailer in Valdosta, Georgia, Trump repeated his false declare that President Joe Biden wouldn’t get on the telephone with the state’s Republican governor — regardless of Gov. Brian Kemp saying he had spoken to the president a day earlier and appreciated the federal assist his state has obtained. And addressing reporters who assembled in Georgia forward of his Monday afternoon cease, Trump predicted that Biden was ‘sleeping,’ criticized Harris for having been ‘out someplace campaigning, on the lookout for cash’ a day earlier — when Trump himself was rallying in Pennsylvania — and referred to her working mate as ‘Tampon Tim.’ Even Trump appeared to acknowledge — a minimum of when studying from prewritten remarks — that it wasn’t the time or place. ‘As you realize, our nation is within the ultimate weeks of a hard-fought nationwide election. At a time like this when a disaster hits, when our fellow residents cry out in want, none of that issues,’ Trump mentioned as he learn from sheets of notes. ‘We’re not speaking about politics now. We’ve got to all get collectively and get this solved.’ However he refused to stay to that statesman’s tone on Monday. And for all of the political advantages Trump has appeared to reap for being the primary to point out up at catastrophe websites — akin to his go to to East Palestine, Ohio, early final 12 months, when Biden had did not go — his penchant for utilizing any alternative to smear his rivals was additionally on full show. Not directly, so, too, within the aftermath of a hurricane affecting the swing states of North Carolina and Georgia, was the extra measured persona Harris is searching for to challenge in a neck-and-neck race.”
MI: “‘A false sense of consolation’: Michigan Dems struggle to maintain voters’ consideration on abortion” [Politico]. “Democrats swept Michigan in 2022 by campaigning on abortion rights, profitable management of all branches of presidency in Lansing for the primary time in almost 40 years and making the state the primary to override a ban on the process after the autumn of Roe v. Wade. However this 12 months, regardless of leaning much more closely into the problem, Democrats stay just about tied in federal races that would decide the presidency and majorities in Congress. That’s fueling nervousness that abortion slipped off many citizens’ radars after Michiganders accepted the poll initiative two years in the past. ‘There’s a false sense of consolation that someway we’re okay as a result of it’s within the Michigan Structure,’ outgoing Democratic Sen. Debbie Stabenow informed POLITICO just lately… Democrats’ struggle for Michigan is testing the efficiency and endurance of their nationwide message that Republicans will wipe out entry to abortion in every single place if given the prospect.’” •
NC: “How Helene’s destruction could affect voting in North Carolina’s election” [News & Observer]. “In the aftermath of Hurricane Helene’s destruction in Western North Carolina, concerns have emerged about whether residents affected by the storm will be able to cast their ballots in the November election. Disruptions to the postal service, destruction of polling places, missing or damaged IDs and more could all pose challenges to voters with only 36 days left until the election. ‘This is all a cascading series of disasters,’ Gerry Cohen, a member of the Wake County Board of Elections, said.” • I should have added that mail-in ballots would be disrupted; fifty lashes with a wet noodle for Lambert. NOTE: Blue Buncombe County, home of Asheville, is the only county named.
NC: “Harris interrupts campaign schedule to visit Georgia, North Carolina in hurricane aftermath” [The Hill]. The headline is deceptive: “Harris will travel to Georgia on Wednesday and then to North Carolina ‘in the coming days,’ according to a White House official.”
PA: “Poll shows a tight race in Pennsylvania, with warning signs for Harris among older voters” [Politico]. “Harris is winning 49 percent of likely voters, compared with 47 percent for Trump and 2 percent for other candidates, the poll done by a bipartisan team for AARP found. Three percent are undecided…. Biden was down 5 percentage points overall in that April survey. Among voters aged 18 to 49, he was behind by 1 point; she is now ahead by 14. He was losing independents by 6 points; she is winning them by 9. With Democrats, women, suburban voters, rural voters and even voters without a college degree, she is outperforming Biden. There is a major voting bloc, though, among which she has slipped: seniors. Harris is losing voters aged 65 and older by 7 points, compared with 1 point for Biden. ‘Harris’ biggest weakness is older voters. It is the biggest share of the electorate, and she is behind,’ said Republican pollster Bob Ward, whose firm, Fabrizio Ward, helped conduct the AARP survey and also polls for the Trump campaign. The economy appears to be a big reason why older voters prefer Trump to Harris. For voters aged 50 and up who ranked inflation and high prices as a top issue, Trump has a 54-point lead.” • Older voters are the most reliable, too.
Clinton Legacy
“Clinton warns of October surprise that will ‘distort and pervert’ Harris” [The Hill]. “Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton warned of an October surprise that will ‘distort and pervert’ Vice President Harris. ‘There will be concerted efforts to distort and pervert Kamala Harris, who she is, what she stands for, what she’s done,’ Clinton said during an interview with ‘Firing Line’ host Margaret Hoover. She pointed to the 2016 ‘pizzagate’ conspiracy theory that surrounded the end of her presidential campaign against Donald Trump.” • “Surrounded” is going a lot of work, there. I followed election 2016 closely, and I cannot say that Pizzagate figured largely in the coverage, or that it affected the outcome (and did Clinton really not mention Russia?). So I take this as projection, and I presume the Democrats have a pre-emptive strike ready. We’ll see!
Realignment and Legitimacy
“It’s The Crisis of Masculinity, Stupid” [Sasha Stone, Free Thinking]. “I don’t want to insult Tim Walz or Doug Emhoff. I would never want to make them feel bad about things they can’t help, like masculinity, but BRUH. They would be what one might call sensitive men. No one out there is buying that Tim Walz is the masculine male role model that will bring back male voters. He’s just not that guy. They’re trying to sell him as Chief Brody, but really, he’s Matt Hooper from the Oceanographic Institute.” • Hooper is, I think, a character from Jaws. Not sure what’s going on in this post, but “irritable mental gestures” seems to cover it.
Syndemics
“I am in earnest — I will not equivocate — I will not excuse — I will not retreat a single inch — AND I WILL BE HEARD.” –William Lloyd Garrison
Covid Resources, United States (National): Transmission (CDC); Wastewater (CDC, Biobot; includes many counties; Wastewater Scan, includes drilldown by zip); Variants (CDC; Walgreens); “Iowa COVID-19 Tracker” (in IA, but national data). “Infection Control, Emergency Management, Safety, and General Thoughts” (especially on hospitalization by city).
Lambert here: Readers, thanks for the collective effort. To update any entry, do feel free to contact me at the address given with the plants. Please put “COVID” in the subject line. Thank you!
Resources, United States (Local): AK (dashboard); AL (dashboard); AR (dashboard); AZ (dashboard); CA (dashboard; Marin, dashboard; Stanford, wastewater; Oakland, wastewater); CO (dashboard; wastewater); CT (dashboard); DE (dashboard); FL (wastewater); GA (wastewater); HI (dashboard); IA (wastewater reports); ID (dashboard, Boise; dashboard, wastewater, Central Idaho; wastewater, Coeur d’Alene; dashboard, Spokane County); IL (wastewater); IN (dashboard); KS (dashboard; wastewater, Lawrence); KY (dashboard, Louisville); LA (dashboard); MA (wastewater); MD (dashboard); ME (dashboard); MI (wastewater; wastewater); MN (dashboard); MO (wastewater); MS (dashboard); MT (dashboard); NC (dashboard); ND (dashboard; wastewater); NE (dashboard); NH (wastewater); NJ (dashboard); NM (dashboard); NV (dashboard; wastewater, Southern NV); NY (dashboard); OH (dashboard); OK (dashboard); OR (dashboard); PA (dashboard); RI (dashboard); SC (dashboard); SD (dashboard); TN (dashboard); TX (dashboard); UT (wastewater); VA (wastewater); VT (dashboard); WA (dashboard; dashboard); WI (wastewater); WV (wastewater); WY (wastewater).
Resources, Canada (National): Wastewater (Government of Canada).
Resources, Canada (Provincial): ON (wastewater); QC (les eaux usées); BC (wastewater); BC, Vancouver (wastewater).
Hat tips to helpful readers: Alexis, anon (2), Art_DogCT, B24S, CanCyn, ChiGal, Chuck L, Festoonic, FM, FreeMarketApologist (4), Gumbo, hop2it, JB, JEHR, JF, JL Joe, John, JM (10), JustAnotherVolunteer, JW, KatieBird, KF, KidDoc, LL, Michael King, KF, LaRuse, mrsyk, MT, MT_Wild, otisyves, Petal (6), RK (2), RL, RM, Rod, square coats (11), tennesseewaltzer, Tom B., Utah, Bob White (3).
Stay safe out there!
Social Norming
It seems to me that a broadening neurological spectrum is important and, more to the point, adaptive:
Maybe it’s because I came to to CC twitter from autism twitter but it’s just so glaringly obvious to me that the #1 barrier to mass adoption of masking isn’t misinformation, it’s social cues and popularity contests. https://t.co/ioXx4OaZ2h
— 🧂Mask 4 Tinu & Fiqah (@DestinySugarB) September 30, 2024
TABLE 1: Day by day Covid Charts
Lambert right here: Finally, the wastewater information appears to be like improved. Apparenltly, we dodged a “Again to Faculty” bullet, a minimum of on the nationwide degree. The wastewater drop is strengthened by the positivity numbers as properly.
Wastewater | |
This week[1] CDC September 23 | Last Week[2] CDC (until next week): |
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Variants [3] CDC September 28 | Emergency Room Visits[4] CDC September 21 |
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Hospitalization | |
New York[5] New York State, data September 27: |
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Positivity | |
National[7] Walgreens September 30: | Ohio[8] Cleveland Clinic September 21: |
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Travelers Data | |
Positivity[9] CDC September 9: | Variants[10] CDC September 9: |
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Deaths | |
Weekly Deaths vs. % Positivity [11]CDC September 21: | Weekly Deaths vs. ED Visits [12]CDC September 21: |
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LEGEND
1) ★ for charts new today; all others are not updated.
2) For a full-size/full-resolution image, Command-click (MacOS) or right-click (Windows) on the chart thumbnail and “open image in new tab.”
NOTES
[1] (CDC) This week’s wastewater map, with hot spots annotated. Much less intense!
[2] (CDC) Last week’s wastewater map.
[3] (CDC Variants) KP.* very popular. XEC has entered the chat.
[4] (ED) Down, but worth noting that Emergency Department use is now on a par with the first wave, in 2020.
[5] (Hospitalization: NY) Definitely down.
[6] (Hospitalization: CDC).
[7] (Walgreens) Big drop continues!
[8] (Cleveland) Dropping.
[9] (Travelers: Positivity) Up, though lagged.
[10] (Travelers: Variants).
[11] Deaths low, positivity down.
[12] Deaths low, ED down.
Stats Watch
Employment Situation: “United States Job Openings” [Trading Economics]. “The number of job openings rose by 329,000 to 8.040 million in August 2024 from an upwardly revised 7.711 million in July and above market expectations of 7.655 million.”
Employment Situation: “United States Job Quits” [Trading Economics]. “The number of job quits in the US fell to 3.084 million in August of 2024 from the downwardly revised 3.243 million in the previous month, the lowest since August of 2020.”
Supply Chain: “United States LMI Logistics Managers Index” [Trading Economics]. “The Logistics Manager’s Index in the US jumped to 58.6 in September 2024 from 56.4 in August, pointing to the highest growth rate in the logistics sector in two years. The overall index has now increased for ten consecutive months, providing strong evidence that the logistics industry is back on solid footing.” • Effect of ILA strike not mentioned.
Manufacturing: “United States Manufacturing PMI” [Trading Economics]. “The S&P Global US Manufacturing PMI was revised higher to 47.3 in September 2024 from a preliminary of 47, but remained the lowest since June 2023. It marked the third consecutive month of contraction, with both output and new orders falling sharply due to weakened demand and political uncertainty.”
Supply Chain: “East and Gulf coast ports strike, with ILA longshoremen walking off job from New England to Texas, stranding billions in trade” [CNBC]. “Approximately 50,000 ILA union longshoremen were walking off the job at East Coast and Gulf Coast ports from New England to Texas starting at 12:01 a.m. ET on Tuesday after failing to reach an agreement with ports ownership on a new contract, the union’s first strike since 1977. Between 43%-49% of all U.S. imports and billions of dollars in trade monthly move through the U.S. East Coast and Gulf ports. The International Longshoremen’s Association, the largest maritime union in North America, rejected an offer from the port management group USMX on Monday that included a wage hike over six years near 50%.” • Commentary:
Dockworkers are being totally unreasonable when it comes to demanding pay hikes. What do they think they are, corporate executives?!?
— Matt Stoller (@matthewstoller) October 1, 2024
Provide Chain: “‘I’ll cripple you’: Dockworkers union vows to close down U.S. financial system with strike” [MarketWatch]. “In a video posted by the union final month, the ILA chief negotiator warned a dockworkers strike had the ability to ‘cripple’ the U.S. financial system, by blocking the import of the whole lot from automobiles and garments to development supplies. ‘These individuals at present don’t know what a strike is,’ [ the International Longshoremen’s Association’s chief negotiator, Harold Daggett] mentioned. ‘When my males hit the streets, from Maine to Texas, each single port will lock down. … All the things in the US comes on a ship.’” • Presumably the contract will finish, as ought to Boeings, on Might 1, 2028? Talking of not figuring out “what a strike is.”
Provide Chain: “White Home left with few good choices as dockworkers stroll out” [CNN]. “For weeks, Cupboard-level officers throughout an array of companies have been protecting shut tabs on the negotiations between the Worldwide Longshoremen’s Affiliation and a consortium of corporations managing ports alongside the East and Gulf coasts. White Home officers on Friday met with representatives from the consortium, the US Maritime Company, to encourage the affiliation to remain on the negotiating desk. Relating to brokering a possible deal, labor consultants say the White Home has simply two instruments: Utilizing the bully pulpit and invoking the Taft-Hartley Act, which might power the longshore staff to get again on the job. President Joe Biden has despatched a transparent message that he has no plans to do the latter. ‘No,’ Biden informed reporters Sunday when requested whether or not he would intervene in a possible strike. ‘As a result of it’s collective bargaining, and I don’t consider in Taft-Hartley.’ Breaking the strike could be a politically harmful transfer for Biden as his vp, Kamala Harris, runs to succeed him within the Oval Workplace. With out taking that transfer, there’s not a lot else the White Home can do.” • Too dangerous concerning the railroad staff, however it wasn’t an election 12 months.
Manufacturing: “Boeing Needs to Take a Cue From UPS and Pay Its Strikers” [Bloomberg]. “Boeing Co.’s labor negotiators should have paid more attention to how Carol Tomé, the chief executive officer of United Parcel Service Inc., handled talks with its union last year. UPS workers were itching to strike, and the company was inevitably going to have to give hefty raises. Instead of digging in over a couple of percentage points on the salary increases, risking a strike and creating more animosity with its workforce, Tomé relented to the union’s demands. The higher labor costs have squeezed margins, and investors registered their dismay with a 27% drop in the share price since the tentative deal was announced in July last year. UPS customers, though, were grateful that Tomé avoided the disruption a strike would have caused. Tomé’s calculation was that even if she pushed the negotiations to the point of a strike, the company would have ended up in the same place — a big payout and costly changes such as adding air conditioning to new delivery vehicles. The only difference would have been the worker ill will and angry customers that a strike would have provoked. Automakers, on the other hand, let labor talks break down, and they ended up agreeing to record pay increases after a costly six-week strike. Boeing has dug in its heels with striking machinists who have shut down factories for more than a week, and it’s not working. The planemaker will more than likely have to meet workers’ demands to end this damaging and costly strike. Customers are upset that the delays in plane deliveries will worsen. Suppliers are left in the dark about how much they should cut back on production, which hurts their workers and finances. Repairing the culture of quality and safety on the factory floor is in jeopardy. The strike is only accelerating Boeing’s cash burn, spurring Moody’s Ratings to consider cutting the company’s debt rating.” •
Manufacturing: “Over 40 Airlines Could Be Flying Boeing Jets With Risky Rudder Parts” [Jalopnik]. “The National Transportation Safety Board warned over 40 foreign airlines on Tuesday that their Boeing 737 planes may be fitted with potentially dangerous rudder components. The agency identified 271 parts that could fail and jam the rudder control system. The NTSB discovered the issue while investigating a February landing incident involving a United Airlines flight arriving at Newark Liberty International Airport.” • Whoops.
Manufacturing: “Boeing can recover from its Starliner troubles, but it can’t afford any other misfires” [The Conversation]. “The partial failure of Starliner’s mission doesn’t help Boeing’s effort to bounce back from its problems. The company’s reputation has not been irreparably damaged, however. Boeing can recover and is taking the right initiatives to re-emphasise a safety culture – something that’s crucial to its business going forward. But recovering trust while upholding financial performance can take years.” • Obviously, the first step to buildng a safety culture is busting the unions.
Tech: So much for backup:
Your files are dying.
That SSD you keep in the closet, the one from your old system “just in case”. Yup, degrading as we speak.
SSDs are *shockingly* bad at power off retention, esp if it’s near it’s endurance rating.
The JEDEC standard only requires 1 year of unpowered data… pic.twitter.com/zlpkCbTQms
— LaurieWired (@lauriewired) September 30, 2024
I had at all times assumed unpowered SSDs have been secure indefinitely. Since I vehemently oppose the cloud, I suppose I’ll must get a CD burner or some such. Time consuming!
At the moment’s Worry & Greed Index: 68 Greed (earlier shut: 75 Excessive Greed) [CNN]. One week in the past: 66 (Hreed). (0 is Excessive Worry; 100 is Excessive Greed). Final up to date Oct 1 at 1:46:30 PM ET.
Gallery
For Alma-Tadema stans:
Lengthy earlier than cinema, there was “cinematic” portray.
These work are centuries outdated, however seem like stills from a high-budget film epic.
Listed here are some you have not seen earlier than — that can blow your thoughts… 🧵 pic.twitter.com/wdltpBWHY3
— Tradition Critic (@Culture_Crit) September 27, 2024
Class Warfare
News of the Wired
“Do All Problems Have Technical Fixes?” [Communications of the ACM]. “The unspoken foundational claim is not that computing technology confers certain benefits, a pragmatic claim, and a matter of fact, but that it carries normative value, that it’s good; in particular, our tech is good, and therefore should be out there in the world. This is tricky.” • By Betteridge’s Law….
Contact information for plants: Readers, feel free to contact me at lambert [UNDERSCORE] strether [DOT] corrente [AT] yahoo [DOT] com, to (a) find out how to send me a check if you are allergic to PayPal and (b) to find out how to send me images of plants. Vegetables are fine! Fungi, lichen, and coral are deemed to be honorary plants! If you want your handle to appear as a credit, please place it at the start of your mail in parentheses: (thus). Otherwise, I will anonymize by using your initials. See the previous Water Cooler (with plant) here. From CC:
CC writes: “Noticed this on the post at the bottom of the steps at my daughter’s house. Momma Spider on the post and her bunch(? Highly technical description), just below her above the handrail.”
Readers: Water Cooler is a standalone entity not covered by the annual NC fundraiser. Material here is Lambert’s, and does not express the views of the Naked Capitalism site. If you see a link you especially like, or an item you wouldn’t see anywhere else, please do not hesitate to express your appreciation in tangible form. Remember, a tip jar is for tipping! Regular positive feedback both makes me feel good and lets me know I’m on the right track with coverage. When I get no donations for three or four days I get worried. More tangibly, a constant trickle of donations helps me with expenses, and I factor in that trickle when setting fundraising goals:
Here is the screen that will appear, which I have helpfully annotated:
If you hate PayPal, you can email me at lambert [UNDERSCORE] strether [DOT] corrente [AT] yahoo [DOT] com, and I will give you directions on how to send a check. Thank you!