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Affected person readers, the put up on the most recent Trump assassination try took a lot a lot longer than I anticipated, and so I needed to reduce my prep and writing time for Water Cooler. I’ll make it as much as you tomorrow, I swear! –lambert
Chicken Music of the Day
I say stick to the catbirds!
Grey Catbird, Shadehill State Rec Space – Merrimans Grove, Perkins, South Dakota, United States.
In Case You Would possibly Miss…
- Kamala’s newest promotion: ice cream. Wants a greater title, although.
- Stein on the poll in Georgia.
- Boeing takes money circulate measures, butchers messaging.
- Naming waypoints within the air!
Politics
“So most of the social reactions that strike us as psychological are actually a rational administration of symbolic capital.” –Pierre Bourdieu, Classification Struggles
Trump Assassination Try
“Sen. Josh Hawley: Whistleblower Says Lead Secret Service Agent On Day Trump Was Shot Was Promoted After Failing Key Examination” [RealClearPolitics]. Hawley: “The pattern that is emerging here from whistleblowers who come forward to me now over and over again is that the Trump rally was undermanned, it was understaffed, they did not have people who had experience on it. And now this advance agent I’m told may have failed one or more for training exams and was known not to be a top-quality agent. This is absurd.” And: “One other thing — I’m told by people who are close to and have knowledge of the Secret Service’s own internal investigation that the Department of Homeland Security is leaning on the Secret Service not to comply with document requests to Congress. This is really getting to be outrageous. The American people need the truth here.” • Makes you wonder how they’ll stonewall the second assassination attempt!
2024
Less than sixty days to go!
Friday’s RCP Poll Averages:
A few polls post-debate, but as of this reading little change. To be fair, it might take some time for sentiment to settle; and the winning margins may at this point be so minute as to be undetectable. Still, the Democrats must be very puzzled to have virtual unanimity across the political spectrum that “Harris is the one” — it was a tidal wave, after the debate — and yet the election is a virtual tie. How can this be? Perhaps a few more Republicans, generals, or celebrities will turn the tide.
“One in four US Black men under 50 support Trump for president, NAACP poll finds” [Reuters]. “Over one quarter of younger Black men say they would support Republican candidate Donald Trump in this year’s U.S. presidential election, an NAACP poll showed on Friday. Black voters have long been the most loyal Democratic constituency, but during Democratic President Joe Biden’s term, some younger Black voters and Black men of all ages lost faith in the Democratic Party. Black voters played a large role in sending Biden to the White House in 2020, and Democratic Vice President Kamala Harrishopes to secure their support to win the Nov. 5 presidential election. Most Black voters, 63%, plan to support Harris, compared with 13% for Trump, according to the new NAACP survey, which interviewed 1,000 registered Black voters across the U.S. from Aug. 6 to Aug. 12. But 26% of Black men under 50 years old said they supported Trump, versus 49% who backed Harris. For Black men above 50, 77% said they supported Harris. Sixty-seven percent of Black women said they supported Harris, while 8% said they supported Trump. Top issues for Black voters were the economy, crime, and public safety, the survey found, with the cost of food and groceries, housing, and utilities being the biggest economic stressors. Eighty-two percent of Black men under 50 listed economic issues among the most important issues facing the country today, compared with 75% of Black women of all ages. Voter messaging that emphasizes rights ‘being under attack’ has the most significant chance to motivate undecided voters and younger Black men, the survey found.” • “We’re not going back” might do that.
* * * Kamala (D): The pints aren’t the only thing that’s churning:
I’m not sure that “Kamala’s Cocunut Jubilee” makes it for me. Nor the recipe. Can readers suggest alternatives? (Adding: The Swing States are in good hands. But I’m not sure MoveOn’s promotion is going to bring out anybody who isn’t already going to the polls (maybe because they admire Pelosi for having a whole ice cream freezer).
* * * Trump (R): “Trump’s swing-state plan targets ‘sometimes’ voters” [Axios]. “The Trump campaign’s internal materials prioritize getting to “hard-to-reach, low-propensity voters” — those who’ve shown interest in Trump by attending a rally, for example, but aren’t necessarily likely to show up at the polls. The campaign’s volunteers have been given a list of 25 “unreachable” and “sometimes” voters, with a goal of visiting at least 10 in person. As they contact and engage more unlikely voters, volunteers earn rewards. Those include T-shirts and MAGA caps and “expedited” entry into Trump rallies, and a top prize for the most active volunteers: an invitation to a party at Mar-a-Lago or Trump’s inauguration, along with being dubbed a ‘Trump Force Precinct Caption.’” “Caption”? Did an AI write this? More: “The volunteers are explicitly told to encourage those they contact to vote before Election Day, either by signing them up to vote by mail or securing their commitment to vote early in person.” • Trump is known for stretching the campaign dollar.
* * * Stein (G): A handout:
FEEL FREE TO SHARE –
I created this to counter establishment propaganda about Jill Stein and the Green Party: pic.twitter.com/EQqTDloaub
— Peter Daou (@peterdaou) September 3, 2024
Stein (G):
BREAKING: We received in Georgia! The anti-Democratic Get together has misplaced a number of lawsuits making an attempt to kick the Inexperienced Get together off the poll in Georgia.
Unfold the phrase and assist us rejoice by pitching in for advertisements to get out our message and get out the vote: https://t.co/P5prJQbth6 pic.twitter.com/R11pdSRXKW
— Group Stein/Ware 2024 (@TeamJillStein) September 14, 2024
Stein (G):
Wow: @Lis_Smith, the operative chosen by the @DNC to steer the Democratic Get together’s coordinated assault on our marketing campaign, is identical particular person Andrew Cuomo paid to smear the ladies he sexually harassed. https://t.co/0V12tg9vCU
— Dr. Jill Stein🌻 (@DrJillStein) September 14, 2024
Additionally Mayo Pete’s marketing campaign supervisor. IIRC, Smith was higher than most at speaking to the press (and most are excellent).
* * * PA: “Pennsylvania is the swing state that issues in November” [Unherd]. This is excellent, price studying in full. The conclusion:
“Although Pennsylvania ranks fifth amongst states with probably the most schools, it’s nonetheless a bastion of working-class voters with out higher-education levels. It’s this bloc — black voters in Harrisburg, the capital metropolis; Latinos in Studying, the fourth-largest metropolis; previously Democratic white Catholics in northeastern Pennsylvania; a cross-section of Trump supporters in Philadelphia’s Northeast — that has turned towards the Democratic Get together. This election will take a look at whether or not these teams can overcome Democratic-trending suburban progress in previously GOP communities. This week, on the query of predicting Pennsylvania’s electoral consequence, journalist Mark Halperin responded: ‘The reply is ‘don’t know.’ It’s this ambiguity, pushed by these demographic ‘middles,’ that make Pennsylvania so pivotal in November.” • Maybe some Pennsylvania readers would care to remark?
PA: “How Does the Harris-Walz Marketing campaign Resolve a Drawback Like Pennsylvania?” [The Daily Beast]. “‘Pennsylvania is Philadelphia and Pittsburgh with Alabama in between,’ James Carville, Invoice Clinton’s marketing campaign guru, wisecracked in 1991. Had Gov. Shapiro been on the ticket, navigating that terrain can be a lot simpler.” • Not after Thomas Crooks, I’m betting.
PA: “Pennsylvania Courtroom Throws Out Ruling Requiring Misdated Ballots to Rely” [New York Times]. “Friday’s ruling signifies that state election officers won’t be counting misdated or undated ballots within the basic election until the courts determine to intervene once more between now and Nov. 5. The plaintiffs may file a brand new lawsuit that tries to handle the jurisdiction challenge, however whether or not they are going to accomplish that is unclear.”
Democrats en Déshabillé
Welcome to the Third World:
Howdy FBI you might also need to look into why this hearth chief was driving a lambo round Chelsea final week https://t.co/9FZ4XDhHb0 pic.twitter.com/EWBbR5dZq7
— Enormous Ma (@turbovax) September 16, 2024
Syndemics
“I’m in earnest — I can’t equivocate — I can’t excuse — I can’t retreat a single inch — AND I WILL BE HEARD.” –William Lloyd Garrison
Covid Sources, United States (Nationwide): Transmission (CDC); Wastewater (CDC, Biobot; consists of many counties; Wastewater Scan, consists of drilldown by zip); Variants (CDC; Walgreens); “Iowa COVID-19 Tracker” (in IA, however nationwide information). “An infection Management, Emergency Administration, Security, and Normal Ideas” (particularly on hospitalization by metropolis).
Lambert right here: Readers, thanks for the collective effort. To replace any entry, do be at liberty to contact me on the tackle given with the crops. Please put “COVID” within the topic line. Thanks!
Sources, United States (Native): AK (dashboard); AL (dashboard); AR (dashboard); AZ (dashboard); CA (dashboard; Marin, dashboard; Stanford, wastewater; Oakland, wastewater); CO (dashboard; wastewater); CT (dashboard); DE (dashboard); FL (wastewater); GA (wastewater); HI (dashboard); IA (wastewater studies); ID (dashboard, Boise; dashboard, wastewater, Central Idaho; wastewater, Coeur d’Alene; dashboard, Spokane County); IL (wastewater); IN (dashboard); KS (dashboard; wastewater, Lawrence); KY (dashboard, Louisville); LA (dashboard); MA (wastewater); MD (dashboard); ME (dashboard); MI (wastewater; wastewater); MN (dashboard); MO (wastewater); MS (dashboard); MT (dashboard); NC (dashboard); ND (dashboard; wastewater); NE (dashboard); NH (wastewater); NJ (dashboard); NM (dashboard); NV (dashboard; wastewater, Southern NV); NY (dashboard); OH (dashboard); OK (dashboard); OR (dashboard); PA (dashboard); RI (dashboard); SC (dashboard); SD (dashboard); TN (dashboard); TX (dashboard); UT (wastewater); VA (dashboard); VT (dashboard); WA (dashboard; dashboard); WI (wastewater); WV (wastewater); WY (wastewater).
Sources, Canada (Nationwide): Wastewater (Authorities of Canada).
Sources, Canada (Provincial): ON (wastewater); QC (les eaux usées); BC (wastewater); BC, Vancouver (wastewater).
Hat tricks to useful readers: Alexis, anon (2), Art_DogCT, B24S, CanCyn, ChiGal, Chuck L, Festoonic, FM, FreeMarketApologist (4), Gumbo, hop2it, JB, JEHR, JF, JL Joe, John, JM (10), JustAnotherVolunteer, JW, KatieBird, KF, LL, Michael King, KF, LaRuse, mrsyk, MT, MT_Wild, otisyves, Petal (6), RK (2), RL, RM, Rod, sq. coats (11), tennesseewaltzer, Tom B., Utah, Bob White (3).
Keep secure on the market!
Transmission: H5N1
“H5 Influenza Vaccines—Shifting Ahead Towards Pandemic Threats” [JAMA]. “The present extent of mammalian an infection seems unprecedented, and a 2024 examine urged the virus could have acquired enhanced capacity to bind mammalian airway receptors.2 The widespread presence of H5N1 amongst animals in proximity to people, regardless of biocontainment efforts, will increase dangers for reassortment between human and animal viruses and choice of mutations that might improve human transmission and threaten a pandemic.” • Yep. Higher plan a multi-layered protection. Oh wait, it’s going to be vax-only once more, isn’t it?
Vaccines: Covid
The Jetsons don’t have anything on this:
📞 One other cheat code for getting a reside particular person by the CVS telephone menu:
Press 2 for supplier.
The pharmacy solutions usually and do not essentially understand you chose the supplier possibility.
If CVS does not prefer it, they will add Novavax inventory to their web site. https://t.co/fw7WmnVuqX
— Friesein (@Friesein) September 13, 2024
Useful when you’re making an attempt to get Novavax from CVS.
Extra recommendations on pharmacies:
Listed below are some useful Medicare billing suggestions in case you have hassle getting pharmacies to invoice Medicare for Novavax:
“Former tech right here. Many buyer going through workers are undertrained in billing.
If you happen to’ve already defined that they should invoice half B (not D) and given them your… https://t.co/gwq0YU8mft
— Friesein (@Friesein) September 12, 2024
Elite Maleficence
“Why Didn’t Going through a Frequent Enemy Deliver Us Collectively?” [Francis Collins, The Atlantic]. • Not a phrase on airborne transmission. Beautiful. An infinite dereliction of responsibility. (It’s additionally Collins’s NIH that blew by a billion bucks on Lengthy Covid with nothing to indicate for it however a framework for additional examine.
TABLE 1: Each day Covid Charts
Lambert right here: First time in a very long time I’ve seen nationwide traits downward for each positivity and hospitalization. Even when wastewater nonetheless seems fairly ugly, that’s excellent information. I assume that what’s occurring is the top of the Summer time Trip cycle of an infection, and there will probably be a brief lull till the start of the Again to College cycle. If not, that will probably be an excellent signal.
Wastewater | |
This week[1] CDC September 9 | Last Week[2] CDC (until next week): |
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Variants [3] CDC August 31 | Emergency Room Visits[4] CDC September 7 |
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Hospitalization | |
★ New York[5] New York State, data September 13: | National [6] CDC August 24: |
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Positivity | |
★ National[7] Walgreens September 16: | Ohio[8] Cleveland Clinic September 7: |
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Travelers Data | |
Positivity[9] CDC August 26: | Variants[10] CDC August 26: |
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Deaths | |
Weekly Deaths vs. % Positivity [11]CDC September 7: | Weekly Deaths vs. ED Visits [12]CDC September 9: |
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LEGEND
1) ★ for charts new today; all others are not updated.
2) For a full-size/full-resolution image, Command-click (MacOS) or right-click (Windows) on the chart thumbnail and “open image in new tab.”
NOTES
[1] (CDC) This week’s wastewater map, with hot spots annotated. Keeps spreading. NOTE The date seems to be wrong, but the number of sites has changed so this is new.
[2] (CDC) Last week’s wastewater map.
[3] (CDC Variants) KP.* very popular. XDV.1 flat.
[4] (ED) Down, but worth noting that Emergency Department use is now on a par with the first wave, in 2020.
[5] (Hospitalization: NY) Definitely down.
[6] (Hospitalization: CDC). The visualization suppresses what is, in percentage terms, a significant increase.
[7] (Walgreens) Big drop continues!
[8] (Cleveland) Dropping.
[9] (Travelers: Positivity) Down. Those sh*theads at CDC have changed the chart so that it doesn’t even run back to 1/21/23, as it used to, but now starts 1/1/24. There’s also no way to adjust the time range. CDC really doesn’t want you to be able to take a historical view of the pandemic, or compare one surge to another. In an any case, that’s why the shape of the curve has changed.
[10] (Travelers: Variants) What the heck is LB.1?
[11] Deaths low, but positivity up.
[12] Deaths low, ED up.
Stats Watch
Manufacturing: “United States NY Empire State Manufacturing Index” [Trading Economics]. “The NY Empire State Manufacturing Index unexpectedly jumped to 11.5 in September 2024, the highest since April 2022, compared to -4.7 in August and forecasts of -3.9. The reading showed business activity in New York state grew for the first time in nearly a year.”
Manufacturing: “Boeing strike: bosses bruised, blindsided and on brink of crisis” [Reuters]. “Two days after Boeing announced its offer, as union member frustration seeped into the media, commercial planes chief Stephanie Pope wrote an open letter to workers, saying the company had held nothing back and this was the best deal they would get. CEO Kelly Ortberg followed up with an open letter the next day, telling workers that voting against the deal would send them down a path ‘where no one wins’. Rather than rallying the troops, the letters backfired, according to four workers who said many union members saw them as ultimatums. ‘I thought they were unprofessional and threatening,’ said Josh King, a quality control inspector at a Boeing Seattle factory. Boeing finance chief Brian West acknowledged the disconnect with staff. ‘We had an unprecedented temporary agreement that was unanimously endorsed by union leadership. And over the last few days, it became very clear, loud and clear, with our union members that that offer didn’t meet the mark,’ he told a Morgan Stanley conference at the beachside Ritz-Carlton in Dana Point, California on Friday.” • The workers were voting against the union leadership just as much as they were Boeing management. Unsurprisingly.
“Boeing freezes hiring in sweeping cost cuts as it grapples with factory worker strike” [CNBC]. “The manufacturer will make ‘significant reductions’ to supplier spending and stop most purchase orders for its 737 Max, 767 and 777 jetliners, CFO Brian West said in a note to staff. It was the first clear sign of how the strike will affect the hundreds of suppliers that rely on Boeing work. ‘We are working in good faith to reach a new contract agreement that reflects their feedback and enables operations to resume,’ West said in his note. “However, our business is in a difficult period. This strike jeopardizes our recovery in a significant way and we must take necessary actions to preserve cash and safeguard our shared future.’ He added that Boeing is not making cuts to funding for safety, quality and direct customer support work.” • Why West? Why not Ortberg? Anyhow, West’s message:
NEWS: Boeing CFO Brian West issues a companywide memo detailing the steps it is taking conserve cash during the IAM strike. Its austerity measures will reverberate across the aerospace industry and broader U.S. and global economy. pic.twitter.com/bxLMSfKXY7
— Jon Ostrower (@jonostrower) September 16, 2024
Manufacturing: “Boeing Strikers Have Leverage to Extract Significant Change” [Bloomberg]. “The union now has the higher hand as a result of Boeing desperately must ramp up manufacturing of planes to assist heal its provide chain and stem its losses. The corporate supplied a basic wage improve of 25% over 4 years and a $3,000 bonus for approving a brand new contract. Staff wished a 40% increase and annual efficiency bonuses. How does Boeing pay up with out breaking its funds? Right here’s a unusual suggestion for each side of the bargaining desk: tie an additional bonus to any future share repurchases.” • See the put up for the logic, which appears too intelligent by half. Why not simply give the employees what they need and deserve?
Immediately’s Worry & Greed Index: 49 Impartial (earlier shut: 43 Worry) [CNN]. One week in the past: 39 (Worry). (0 is Excessive Worry; 100 is Excessive Greed). Final up to date Sep 13 at 1:58:23 PM ET.
Gallery
Yikes:
The Roses of Heliogabalus, Lawrence Alma-Tadema, 1888 – element pic.twitter.com/TzgyOYXhhd
— Artwork or Different Issues (@ArtorOtherThing) September 13, 2024
My childhood was quite a bit like this, besides no oiuja boards:
— Retro Toys and Cartoons (@toys_retro) September 12, 2024
Apparently, that is not true.
Information of the Wired
If you stan for toponymics, this is for you:
To streamline traffic, large airports have Standard Terminal ARrivals (STARs).
Points on the route are named. They must be 5 characters & unique – can’t match any other nav point out there
They often have themes; it helps you know how to pronounce the points on the radio when… pic.twitter.com/olwoDLCeEg
— KC-10 Driver ✈️ 👨✈️ B-737 Wrangler (@MCCCANM) September 16, 2024
Contact data for crops: Readers, be at liberty to contact me at lambert [UNDERSCORE] strether [DOT] corrente [AT] yahoo [DOT] com, to (a) learn how to ship me a verify if you’re allergic to PayPal and (b) to learn how to ship me pictures of crops. Greens are high-quality! Fungi, lichen, and coral are deemed to be honorary crops! If you’d like your deal with to seem as a credit score, please place it at first of your mail in parentheses: (thus). In any other case, I’ll anonymize through the use of your initials. See the earlier Water Cooler (with plant) right here. From TH:
TH writes: ” Aeonium haworthii, also called Haworth’s aeonium or pinwheel— I don’t blame you if you want that bee had been in focus— I preferred the background and colours of this one. Disappointing harvest? He seems to be going away empty handed.” I’m an enormous fan of blur, as a way. What do readers assume?