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20 Things You May Not Know About Markets (or That Might Surprise You). #1 – Normal Stock Market Returns are Extreme – Meb Faber Research

by Meb Faber
June 21, 2025
in Stock Market
Reading Time: 1 min read
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We’re beginning a brand new sequence right here that can ultimately be a brief paper, however thought we’d drip these articles out each week over the course of the summer season….take pleasure in!

#1 – Regular inventory market returns are excessive

Most traders perceive that shares return about 10% per 12 months over time.

Nonetheless, many traders could not respect the unstable path that shares usually take to attain this 10% return. It’s not a gentle 10%, 10%, 10%.

Over the previous 125 years, the common up 12 months in markets was 21%!

The common down 12 months is -14%.

There are about 3 times as many up years as down years. Actually, there are extra 25% or extra up years than down years.

However the down years nonetheless occur, and after they do, they’re scary. The extra unstable small caps common close to a bear market decline yearly.

Staying the course may be powerful on the trail to 10%.

Because of our intern Ava for the chart and to Ken Fisher for the inspiration!

 



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Tags: extremeFaberMarketMarketsMebnormalresearchReturnsStockSurprise
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