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#10 “You Can Replace The Bonds In The Traditional 60/40 Portfolio With Gold And It Makes No Difference” – Meb Faber Research

by Meb Faber
August 24, 2025
in Stock Market
Reading Time: 2 mins read
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For those who learn the headline of this text, you in all probability have the identical thought as everybody else:

“No CHANCE”

That means, there isn’t any method this headline is true. I imply, what number of buyers have you learnt with a portfolio that’s 60% shares and 40% gold? (Okay possibly just a few loopy Canadians or Australians?)

Probably the most iconic institutional benchmark is the 60/40 portfolio of US shares and bonds. It appears loopy to assume that there’s nothing particular about this allocation.  So let’s run a loopy thought experiment and swap out one of many belongings, bonds, with one other completely unrelated asset, gold, and see what occurs. Absolutely it can crush returns…..proper?

 

 

 

 

The entire danger and return statistics are nearly the identical. Some readers will after all reply that the time interval is cherry picked, however it holds for the final 100 years too. 

Traders like to assume it binary phrases “Ought to I personal bonds OR gold?!” Nonetheless, traditionally the extra uncorrelated belongings included within the portfolio, the higher. So as a substitute of asking “Ought to I personal bonds OR gold?!”, maybe the query ought to be “Ought to I personal bonds AND gold?!”

Traditionally, the reply has been…”BOTH”.

Are gold and bonds simply interchangeable?

Not a gold bug however I lived with a Canadian as soon as.



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Tags: bondsdifferenceFabergoldMebPortfolioreplaceresearchTraditional
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